Lexington, Massachusetts, USA
Short Range Forecast Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 300 PM EST Sun Nov 09 2025 Valid 00Z Mon Nov 10 2025 - 00Z Wed Nov 12 2025 ...Frigid airmass brings sharply colder weather across the eastern two-thirds of the country and record low temperatures through the Southeast including all of Florida by Tuesday morning... ...Snowy, very cold and windy from the Great Lakes to interior New England and west slopes of central Appalachians... ...Critical fire weather across southern Texas into tonight... An unusually strong surge of polar air is well under way into the mid-section of the country this Sunday afternoon. This polar plunge will be in stark contrast with the increasingly mild conditions across the West and across the East for the remainder of today. The strong temperature contrast between the cold in the central and the warmth in eastern U.S. will work in concert with a deepening upper-level trough to intensify a low pressure system which will progressively move through the Northeast on Monday. A swath of wet snow is forecast to follow the northern edge of the low pressure system as far north as northern Maine this evening, and as far south as the western slopes of the central Appalachians into the Ohio Valley beginning this evening and lasting into much of Monday. Total snow accumulations as much as 6 to locally 12 inches are possible across east-central West Virginia. Meanwhile, a cold rain across the lower Great Lakes should change over to periods of lake-effect snow tonight and continue through Monday as colder air arrives behind the low pressure system. Areas near the southern shore of Lake Michigan including the lake-front region of Chicago could be impacted by a period of locally enhanced snowfall tonight when a smaller scale low pressure system could form over the relatively warm Lake Michigan. By early Tuesday, much milder air coming from the northern Plains should change the snow to rain near Lake Michigan before ending, and possibly change the lake-effect snow to rain near the shores of the Lake Eire and Lake Ontario. Along the East Coast, broad southerly flow ahead of the intensifying low pressure system has brought anomalous warmth into the 70s as far north as Virginia Sunday afternoon. The best chance of showers and thunderstorms is expected across the southern half of New England into tonight. A sharp cold front is sweeping through the East Coast and then out into the Atlantic tonight with only passing showers and some embedded thunderstorms up and down the East Coast. This will be followed by sharply falling temperatures and increasingly blustery winds from the west on Monday. High temperatures will struggle to reach the freezing mark on Monday along the central and central Appalachians while below freezing temperatures are forecast to reach deep into the South by Monday morning. By Tuesday morning, record low temperatures will be common across the entire Southeast including all of Florida where below freezing readings are forecast along the eastern Gulf Coast and as far south as northern Florida. Freeze Watches and Warnings are in effect for many areas from the southern Plains through the Deep South, Southeast and into the Mid-Atlantic, and as far south as northern Florida. In the West, an upper ridge will be amplifying as the polar plunge occurs in the central and eastern U.S. The upper ridge will expand the unseasonably warm temperatures into the northern High Plains by Monday. Meanwhile, increasing winds and dry conditions behind the cold front are forecast to support critical fire weather conditions into tonight for portions of southern Texas under gusty winds per the Storm Prediction Center. In addition, Red flag warnings are in effect across southern Texas into southwestern Louisiana. Across the Pacific Northwest, rain associated with the next frontal system from the Pacific is forecast to arrive later tonight, spreading into far northern Rockies on Monday. Meanwhile, the anomalous warmth in the West is forecast to reach into much of the High Plains and up across the central and northern Plains on Tuesday behind a warm front. Kong Graphics available at https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php