Lexington Weather

Lexington, Massachusetts, USA

53°F

10/11/2026 6:40pm

Lexington Conditions: Light rain, Overcast
Temperature: 53.1°F / 11.7°C
Dew Point: 49.6°F
Relative Humidity: 88%
Wind: Calm, 10-min avg: Calm, gust: None
Barometer: 30.12 in Falling Slowly
Visibility: 7 miles
Rain Today: 0.14 in

Area Forecast Discussion
for Boston / Norton, MA

        
000
FXUS61 KBOX 111928
AFDBOX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
328 PM EDT Sun Oct 11 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No significant changes.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Rain leftover from Hurricane Isaias continues through tonight
  before moving offshore Monday followed by a quick warm up in
  temperatures.

- A few rounds of showers this week, first later Tuesday into 
  Tuesday night, then around Friday into Saturday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...Rain leftover from Hurricane Isaias continues 
through tonight before moving offshore Monday followed by a 
quick warm up in temperatures.

The remnants of Hurricane Isaias continue to spread into 
eastern MA this afternoon as the center of the low strengthens 
and passes north of the 40/70 benchmark later tonight. Starting 
to see some heavier rain bands setting up across southern CT and
RI, slowly pushing north and east into MA, and see some 
rainfall rates of up to 0.5 inch per hour could be possible at 
times. Expecting moderate to heavy rain through midnight before 
lightening up in the early morning hours Monday, then finally 
pushing offshore late Monday morning or early afternoon. 
Widespread rainfall totals of 0.75"-1" is expected, as high as 
1.5" along the immediate south coast.

Skies will clear quickly behind the low thanks to some mid-
level dry air moving in from the north, allowing for a quick 
warm-up tomorrow afternoon. Monday's high temperatures rise into
the upper 60s, possibly the low 70s in the CT River Valley.

KEY MESSAGE 2...A few rounds of showers this week, first later 
Tuesday into Tuesday night, then around Friday into Saturday. 

Our region should then get clipped by a pair of low pressures, 
each taking a different track. The first should pass from the 
Great Lakes across northern New England Tuesday into Tuesday 
night. The risk for showers arrives across northern MA during 
the morning, then gradually moves south Tuesday night as the 
associated cold front approaches. Drying out Wednesday as this 
front finally moves farther offshore during the day. Expecting 
Wednesday to have above normal temperatures prior to this cold 
front moving by.

High pressure over eastern Canada should briefly take over our 
weather Wednesday night into Thursday night. Temperatures 
expected to trend below normal for Thursday.

The forecast for next Friday and Saturday still has timing 
uncertainties. That said, the latest guidance suite started to 
converge toward a common track and timing solution. The most 
likely period for rainfall still looks to be between noon Friday
and midnight Saturday. Some questions to how quickly it dries 
out on Saturday, but most of the guidance suite is more 
progressing than the GFS. Favored the consensus solution in this
regard.

Turning noticeably cooler this weekend, especially Saturday 
night into Sunday.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Forecaster Confidence Levels...

Low - less than 30 percent. 
Moderate - 30 to 60 percent. 
High - greater than 60 percent.

18Z TAF Update:

Through Tonight: High confidence. 

VFR much of the day despite rain already spreading through the 
region. CIGS lower to MVFR then IFR from west to east starting 
after 21Z for western terminals and 00z for eastern terminals. 
S/SE winds 5-10 kts with RA arriving from west to east generally
between 16Z-21Z. RA continues overnight, exiting from west to 
east 10-14z. 

Monday: High confidence. 

N winds 5-10 kts. IFR cigs to start, lifting to VFR from west 
to east after 15z except for FMH/HYA/ACK which may linger 
through 21Z.

KBOS Terminal...High confidence in TAF. Light SE winds should 
back to ESE/E before -RA and sub-VFR ceilings develop late this 
afternoon.

KBDL Terminal...High confidence in TAF.

Outlook /Tuesday through Friday/...

Tuesday: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible. Chance SHRA.

Tuesday Night: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible. Breezy.
Chance SHRA, slight chance TSRA.

Wednesday through Thursday: VFR. Breezy. 

Thursday Night: VFR. Slight chance SHRA.

Friday: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible. Windy with local
gusts up to 30 kt. Chance SHRA.

&&

.MARINE...
Forecaster Confidence Levels...

Low - less than 30 percent. 
Moderate - 30 to 60 percent. 
High - greater than 60 percent.

Through Monday: High confidence.

The remnants of Hurricane Isaias are currently working their 
way across the southern waters. Seas build 5 to 10 ft and wind 
gusts 23 to 30 knots by tonnight. SCAs are in effect starting 
8PM this evening for the southern waters, 15-20 kts with gusts 
to 25kt possible, especially on the southern outer waters. Seas 
6-9 ft on southern waters, 3-6 ft on the eastern waters.

Outlook /Tuesday through Friday/...

Tuesday: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas up to 5 ft. Chance of rain
showers. 

Tuesday Night: Low risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with
gusts up to 30 kt. Seas up to 5 ft. Chance of rain showers,
slight chance of thunderstorms. 

Wednesday: Low risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with gusts
up to 25 kt. Areas of rough seas. 

Wednesday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas up to 5 ft. 

Thursday: Low risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with gusts up
to 30 kt. Local rough seas. 

Thursday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Areas of seas
approaching 5 ft. 

Friday: Low risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with local
gusts up to 30 kt. Seas up to 5 ft. Chance of rain showers. 

&&

.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...None.
MA...None.
RI...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 8 PM this evening to 11 PM EDT 
     Monday for ANZ235-237-254>256.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Belk/McMinn
AVIATION...Belk/McMinn
MARINE...Belk/McMinn