Lexington, Massachusetts, USA
000
FXUS61 KBOX 241731
AFDBOX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
1231 PM EST Tue Feb 24 2026
.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Coastal flood advisory has been allowed to expire. Only alerts
that remain are Small Craft Advisories.
&&
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Mostly clear Today before a warm front pushes through Tonight
night into Wednesday accompanied by some light snow.
- Expecting another unsettled pattern for the mid and late week
timeframe. A clipper system should bring light precipitation
Wednesday. Another coastal low pressure has the potential to
bring yet another round of unsettled weather some time late
Thursday into Friday.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...Mostly clear Today before a warm front pushes
through tonight night into Wednesday accompanied by some light
snow.
Expecting Tuesday to remain mostly dry and sunny with afternoon
highs around 32 and overnight lows dropping into the single
digits and low teens. Late Tuesday night into Wednesday morning
will see the arrival of warm front preceding a fast moving
clipper system moving out of the Great Lakes Wednesday. This
warm front will bring chances for another round of wintry
precip, with highest confidence of accumulation across interior
southern New England. Not expecting large accumulations with
this system at this time.
KEY MESSAGE 2...Expecting another unsettled pattern for the mid
and late week timeframe. A clipper system should bring light
precipitation Wednesday. Another coastal low pressure has the
potential to bring yet another round of unsettled weather some
time late Thursday into Friday.
Trending warmer Wednesday as a clipper system moves across
southeast Canada and northern New England. Timing will be
everything with this low pressure. Light snow most likely
during the nighttime hours. Increased S to SW winds should boost
temperatures above freezing, eventually leading to a transition
to rain across the coastal plain by the afternoon. Much lighter
snowfall of 1-3" is anticipated before that can happen, with the
highest accumulations towards the higher terrain of the
Berkshires and the Worcester Hills.
Ensemble guidance is hinting at impacts from another area of
low pressure some time late Thursday into Friday. As we have
said many time this winter, the exact track and strength details
are highly uncertain this far into the future. That being said,
ensemble guidance has shown the possibility of a track to our
south, providing more of a glancing pass from a much weaker low
pressure that what we had yesterday. Again, we are nearly 3
days away from this system so exact details will be resolved
with future forecast updates.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Forecaster Confidence Levels...
Low - less than 30 percent.
Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.
Tonight and Wednesday...Moderate confidence.
VFR through much of tonight, then snow overspreads the region
from W to E from 10-13z with lowering conditions to MVFR-IFR.
Snow likely mixing with or changing to rain along immediate
south coast and especially Cape/Islands. Snow ends by 18z with
improving vsbys but MVFR cigs persist. Increasing S-SW winds
develop Wed morning with gusts to 25 kt, up to 30 kt on the
Cape/Islands where area of LLWS expected as low level jet moves
across the region. Winds and LLWS diminish late Wed as the LLJ
moves to the east.
Wednesday night...Moderate confidence.
Areas of MVFR improving to VFR. SW-W wind 5-15 kt, some higher
gusts early on the Cape/Islands.
KBOS Terminal...High confidence in TAF.
KBDL Terminal...High confidence in TAF.
Outlook /Thursday through Saturday/...
Thursday through Thursday Night: VFR. Chance SN.
Friday: VFR. Slight chance SN.
Friday Night through Saturday: VFR.
&&
.MARINE...
Forecaster Confidence Levels...
Low - less than 30 percent.
Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.
Winds continue to subside, and Gale Warnings have been replaced
by Small Craft Advisories. Small Craft Advisory conditions
gradually diminishing through today into tonight. It will take
some time for seas to subside across the outer coastal waters
after yesterdays storm.
Outlook /Wednesday through Saturday/...
Wednesday: Low risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with gusts
up to 25 kt. Local rough seas. Snow, chance of rain. Local
visibility 1 nm or less.
Wednesday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Areas of rough seas.
Thursday: Winds less than 25 kt. Local rough seas. Chance of
snow, chance of rain.
Thursday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Local rough seas. Chance
of rain, chance of snow. Areas of visibility 1 to 3 nm.
Friday: Winds less than 25 kt. Local rough seas. Chance of
snow, slight chance of rain.
Friday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Areas of seas approaching
5 ft.
Saturday: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas locally approaching 5 ft.
&&
.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...None.
MA...None.
RI...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for ANZ231-
251.
Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EST this afternoon for ANZ232.
Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM EST this evening for ANZ250.
Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST Wednesday for ANZ254-255.
Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM EST Wednesday for ANZ256.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...Belk/McMinn/JWD
AVIATION...KJC
MARINE...Belk/McMinn
Meta data:
ID: f5b0e85f-f0fe-4955-b223-8fff9a987104
Link:
https://api.weather.gov/products/f5b0e85f-f0fe-4955-b223-8fff9a987104
Index:
https://api.weather.gov/products/types/AFD/locations/BOX